Projections of Population Distribution 2021-2029

GENERAL NOTES :

  1. The Working Group on Population Distribution Projections (WGPD) has completed the compilation of the projections of population distribution for 2021-2029, which adopted the latest Census and Statistics Department's projections of territorial population released in September 2020 as the control totals.

  2. Forecast housing supply data adopted by the projections have taken into account all planning information of housing development proposals that were known up to the second quarter of 2020 and other assumptions.

  3. The WGPD compiles projected distributions of population by District Council District (DCD), New Town, as well as Tertiary Planning Unit (TPU). In addition, the projected age structures of population in individual DCDs and New Towns are also compiled.

  4. The detailed results of the population distribution projections for 2021-2029 are published in the report "Projections of Population Distribution 2021-2029". Free download version of the report in PDF format (Bilingual version) is available. Besides, free download version of the statistical tables inside the report in Excel format (Bilingual version) and CSV format (Bilingual version, as shown in the following tables) is also available.

Table 1 : Projected Population by District Council District, 2021-2029
(Figures of 2019 and 2020 are base year estimates)

Table 14 : Comparative Population Distribution in Broad Age Groups by New Town/Other Area in the New Territories in 2019 and 2029
(Note : Similar to Table 13, figures therein indicate population of the broad age group expressed as percentage of the respective territorial land population.)

Table 15 : Projected Population by Tertiary Planning Unit, 2021-2025
(Figures of 2019 and 2020 are base year estimates)
(Note: Owing to consideration of data precision, a TPU with less than 1 000 persons is merged with adjacent TPU(s) for presenting the distribution of population by TPU.)

Note :
Except for Table 15, figures for “Other Areas” also include the projected population for New Town Extension and major New Development Areas up to relevant years.

DISCLAIMER

Many detailed working assumptions are involved in compiling the population distribution projections; changes to which may yield very different results. Although the WGPD has endeavoured to adopt the best assumptions and data sources available at the time of producing the projections, persons making reference to the projection data should decide on the applicability of the projections data to any specific purposes and uses. The Government is not to be held liable for any consequences arising from using the projection data.

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